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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">BJCR</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title xml:lang="en">British Journal of Contemporary Research</journal-title>
        <abbrev-journal-title xml:lang="en">BJCR</abbrev-journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn>2979-8582</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Bexford Publishing Ltd</publisher-name>
        <publisher-loc><uri>https://bexfordpublishing.co.uk</uri></publisher-loc>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">BEX_OCT_26_125</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.67693/BJCR-MCLR636Q</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group xml:lang="en" subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Original Research Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title xml:lang="en">A Nonlinear Dynamical Model of the Interaction between Soil Degradation, Agricultural Productivity and Food Security: Well-posedness, Threshold Dynamics, Hopf Bifurcation and Management Scenarios</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group content-type="author">
      <contrib corresp="yes">
        <name-alternatives>
          <name name-style="western" specific-use="primary">
            <given-names>OCHONOGOR Napoleon Ifeakachukwu</given-names>
          </name>
        </name-alternatives>
        <email>napoloen.ochonogor@dou.edu.ng</email>
        <bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of Mathematics, Dennis Osadebay University, Asaba, Delta State, Nigeria</p></bio>
      </contrib>
      <contrib>
        <name-alternatives>
          <name name-style="western" specific-use="primary">
            <given-names>NOMUOJA Akpome Jennifer</given-names>
          </name>
        </name-alternatives>
        <email>nomuoja.jennifer@dou.edu.ng</email>
        <bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of Mathematics, Dennis Osadebay University, Asaba, Delta State, Nigeria</p></bio>
      </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date date-type="pub" publication-format="epub">
        <day>10</day>
        <month>11</month>
        <year>2026</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>1</volume>
      <issue>6</issue>
      
      
      <pub-history>
        <event event-type="received">
          <event-desc>Received: <date date-type="received">
            <day>15</day>
            <month>10</month>
            <year>2026</year>
          </date></event-desc>
        </event>
        
        <event event-type="accepted">
          <event-desc>Accepted: <date date-type="accepted">
            <day>21</day>
            <month>10</month>
            <year>2026</year>
          </date></event-desc>
        </event>
      </pub-history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright (c) 2026 OCHONOGOR Napoleon Ifeakachukwu</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
        <license xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0">
          <license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <abstract><p>Abstract
We develop and analyse a four-dimensional nonlinear ordinary differential equation model for normalised soil quality S, agricultural productivity A, food security F and soil-degradation pressure D, closed by the hypothesis that low food security raises production pressure and hence degradation. We prove positivity, boundedness and global existence on an explicit invariant region. The equilibrium problem is reduced to one strictly monotone scalar equation, which gives a sharp threshold: a unique positive equilibrium E* exists if and only if the productivity number R_A=(r_a+β+ξ)/θ exceeds one, and when R_A≤1 the productivity-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. At E* we derive the Jacobian and characteristic polynomial, prove that all four coefficients are positive for every admissible parameter set, and conclude that E* can lose stability only through a Hopf bifurcation, with an explicit Routh–Hurwitz criterion. A centre-manifold calculation shows that the transcritical bifurcation at R_A=1 is forward. Numerical work, with hypothetical parameter values, gives eigenvalues and eigenvectors for four management scenarios, local and global sensitivity rankings, and a verified supercritical Hopf bifurcation in a stress-test parameter set. In the illustrative baseline, combining soil restoration with reduced degradation intensity raises equilibrium soil quality by about 110%, productivity by about 60% and food security by about 27%, with sub-additive gains. Global stability of E* is not claimed, and the results are not calibrated to data.</p></abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
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