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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">BJCR</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title xml:lang="en">British Journal of Contemporary Research</journal-title>
        <abbrev-journal-title xml:lang="en">BJCR</abbrev-journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn>2979-8582</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Bexford Publishing Ltd</publisher-name>
        <publisher-loc><uri>https://bexfordpublishing.co.uk</uri></publisher-loc>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">BEX_OCT_26_119</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.67693/BJCR-SBYPVDU3</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group xml:lang="en" subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Original Research Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title xml:lang="en">Threshold Dynamics and Robust Control of Cassava Mosaic Disease in a Host–Vector System — Analytical Stability and a Framework for Stochastic Koopman-Based Forecasting</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group content-type="author">
      <contrib corresp="yes">
        <name-alternatives>
          <name name-style="western" specific-use="primary">
            <given-names>Napoleon Ifeakachukwu OCHONOGOR</given-names>
          </name>
        </name-alternatives>
        <email>napoloen.ochonogor@dou.edu.ng</email>
        <bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Dennis Osadebay University, Asaba, Delta State, Nigeria</p></bio>
      </contrib>
      <contrib>
        <name-alternatives>
          <name name-style="western" specific-use="primary">
            <given-names>Believe Igbunu AKPOBROKA</given-names>
          </name>
        </name-alternatives>
        <email>believe.akpobroka@dou.edu.ng</email>
        <bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Dennis Osadebay University, Asaba, Delta State, Nigeria</p></bio>
      </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date date-type="pub" publication-format="epub">
        <day>10</day>
        <month>11</month>
        <year>2026</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>1</volume>
      <issue>6</issue>
      
      
      <pub-history>
        <event event-type="received">
          <event-desc>Received: <date date-type="received">
            <day>14</day>
            <month>10</month>
            <year>2026</year>
          </date></event-desc>
        </event>
        
        <event event-type="accepted">
          <event-desc>Accepted: <date date-type="accepted">
            <day>20</day>
            <month>10</month>
            <year>2026</year>
          </date></event-desc>
        </event>
      </pub-history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright (c) 2026 Napoleon Ifeakachukwu OCHONOGOR</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
        <license xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0">
          <license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <abstract><p>Abstract
Cassava mosaic disease (CMD) is transmitted by infectious whiteflies and infected planting material. We investigate a deliberately reduced two-state host–vector model, derive its reproduction threshold and equilibria, and formulate robust transmission suppression under interval uncertainty. Positive invariance and global disease-free stability for R₀ ≤ 1 are established analytically. Independently recomputed synthetic experiments examine subcritical, critical and supercritical trajectories, equilibrium branches and nine constrained control-allocation scenarios. For the illustrative baseline, R₀ = 2 and the endemic equilibrium is (0.5625, 0.4286). Worst-case control allocations enforce R꜀ ≤ 0.95 under prescribed upper transmission bounds; optimal allocations depend strongly on relative effort weights. These results concern a stylised model rather than calibrated field dynamics. Infected-cutting introduction, heterogeneous whitefly ecology and empirical validation remain outside its scope. Stochastic dynamics and Koopman forecasting are identified as future research rather than completed results</p></abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
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